SUMMARY
The market's recent recovery after the pandemic-driven turbulence makes this a good time for trustees to prepare portfolios for potential further volatility.
The market's recent recovery after the pandemic-driven turbulence makes this a good time for trustees to prepare portfolios for potential further volatility.
The deep financial market sell-off of February and March 2020 was highly unsettling for investors of most types. Many nonprofits – public charities, private foundations, and certain other organizations – suffered sharp mark-to-market losses on their investment portfolios. As such, they found themselves facing the unhappy possibility of having to reduce both their future operational spending and grant making to their chosen causes. The powerful subsequent market rally has thus come as a welcome reprieve. So, what should nonprofits’ trustees do now in relation to portfolios?
Citi Private Bank believes that it would be wise to treat the markets’ recent rally as a window of opportunity. In our view, further significant volatility in risk assets seems likely. Our Strategy team cautions that economic recovery after the COVID-19 shutdown is likely to take longer than many seemingly expect. We therefore recommend that nonprofits and other investors seek to ensure they are positioned for potential further turbulence.
This follows our advice last summer that nonprofits elevate risk management above enhancing returns at the moment
based on our long-term outlook for asset classes. Disciplined risk management remains equally relevant today.
As a first step, trustees should assess how the portfolios they oversee held up during the market turmoil. This involves asking several important questions. How did the asset allocation perform on an absolute and risk-adjusted basis? Did it meet expectations, given the market environment? Did the fixed income allocation help to offset equity volatility? Did actively managed strategies contribute to improved risk-adjusted returns? Did alternative investment holdings fulfil their intended purpose?
In light of the answers to these questions, the next step for trustees is to consider whether the portfolio conforms to our recommended criteria as follows:
By understanding and implementing these criteria, nonprofit trustees can build portfolios that can keep funding operations and grant making, even during times of market turbulence. With volatility having subsided for the moment, we believe it is a good time to put these criteria into practice.